Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.040820 12.291337 13.639025 15.201599 16.966204 18.900343 21.185087
2025-07-20 9.459247 11.237940 13.297903 15.869612 19.007637 22.729075 27.501642
2025-07-27 8.150289 10.230081 12.791013 16.199116 20.649777 26.311042 34.131580
2025-08-03 6.987607 9.190968 12.050298 16.072417 21.647574 29.195473 40.346294
2025-08-10 6.061106 8.302425 11.347196 15.844598 22.418598 31.833267 46.621716
2025-08-17 5.322581 7.555624 10.714319 15.587884 23.060941 34.325018 53.047691
2025-08-24 4.751497 6.964514 10.211130 15.422999 23.773655 36.971703 60.102857
2025-08-31 4.306989 6.500207 9.827063 15.366956 24.613675 39.893506 68.055187
2025-09-07 4.026382 6.248748 9.729539 15.734523 26.164659 44.170550 79.055534
2025-09-14 3.688953 5.867308 9.376945 15.625033 26.871033 47.066560 88.014545
2025-09-21 3.355654 5.456188 8.927749 15.286805 27.110983 49.129349 95.698193
2025-09-28 3.098924 5.146058 8.612984 15.140553 27.667195 51.835163 105.121242
2025-10-05 2.962504 5.034045 8.637410 15.630577 29.528768 57.425863 121.886937
2025-10-12 2.835256 4.925590 8.656665 16.113755 31.449457 63.455286 140.938182
2025-10-19 2.682608 4.756162 8.546394 16.331200 32.860155 68.643911 159.190459
2025-10-26 2.493205 4.500845 8.249101 16.137839 33.375468 71.952809 173.593456
2025-11-02 2.314780 4.249955 7.935438 15.872690 33.695276 74.865476 187.638207
2025-11-09 2.152790 4.016351 7.633099 15.595374 33.947584 77.657380 202.001620
2025-11-16 2.016860 3.822052 7.390866 15.419194 34.407701 81.028175 218.772472
2025-11-23 1.904455 3.665068 7.209855 15.356865 35.128515 85.173333 238.804018
2025-11-30 1.840880 3.601675 7.217007 15.720509 36.941527 92.470310 270.266395
2025-12-07 1.740240 3.453018 7.029160 15.609080 37.542642 96.615349 292.854007
2025-12-14 1.629010 3.273252 6.758235 15.270108 37.508480 98.992405 310.241757